Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 107.407831 123.782949 143.146467 168.108014 200.005667 2.402380e+02 296.257463
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 83.638953 102.813151 127.891905 164.331407 218.271302 2.996481e+02 442.418807
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 71.162754 91.205278 119.242385 163.588996 237.042086 3.658703e+02 648.102722
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 63.231796 83.620881 113.652667 164.505468 257.204236 4.441158e+02 961.887291
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 55.953402 75.575038 105.515751 158.724490 262.877143 4.975999e+02 1302.086445
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 52.783404 73.060829 105.315405 166.099526 296.349109 6.381503e+02 2285.472430
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 48.061779 67.478861 99.129847 160.931529 301.139527 7.090571e+02 3298.655306
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.113912 64.347306 96.569659 162.096374 321.163851 8.485131e+02 5968.804752
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.081612 60.735058 92.639251 159.584749 331.115692 9.669015e+02 10807.463220
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.369064 60.886322 95.445692 171.972890 387.974982 1.384779e+03 74045.009139
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.508460 62.481147 101.151197 192.532630 484.606995 2.355889e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.397039 59.876514 98.304638 191.779324 508.457512 2.930863e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.040942 56.864988 94.755966 189.824789 533.385604 3.806849e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.662758 53.646395 90.477238 185.273163 547.200259 4.804799e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 32.850099 51.313016 87.754123 184.382630 578.636330 6.793945e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.382598 49.492114 85.881849 185.474248 622.733723 1.080103e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.502407 46.731285 81.638194 178.592352 619.550399 1.343172e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.847503 46.275662 82.443067 187.375336 719.321443 3.933534e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.313301 43.979013 78.812170 181.217220 718.426448 5.959243e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.360215 42.764677 77.549276 182.603806 774.798152 2.438189e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.238159 41.134826 75.145293 179.615106 796.672525 1.586029e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.129770 41.536959 77.608616 194.393631 998.641733 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 25.395522 42.726190 82.178297 219.121935 1401.399792 NaN NaN